Ira, Scarlet Revenger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
40th • 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
5.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Rueß (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Simon Klein (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Johannes Kilzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Enes Findik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alexander Rosenberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.