Kano, Dracai of Aether

Kano, Dracai of Aether

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

15th 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.7
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Stürmer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maik Wiesen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
47th 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Linh Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nica Roth (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Puffin, Hightail
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Johannes Janovsky (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 39:61
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tobias Koch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.