Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
58 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-4-0
27%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.4
Surp
6.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zoey Gerstner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Sitrick (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ry mo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R17 CC
Round 17: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
27% (3/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R16 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R17 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
11th • 7-1-0
50%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
7.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Kohls (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Phi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rhea Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Chase Feaster (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Caleb Engen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
7.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
40th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alejandro Ziegenhirt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ashley Briggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Justin Graham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
51st • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.3
Surp
6.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zackary Whitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Theodore Maximiuk (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Knecht (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Spencer Wilkerson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Noah Biros (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Liam Trodden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Bader (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
73rd • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
6.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pedro Esaki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Demetris Guzman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Miles Slack (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Scott Khuu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
Round 12: Win vs Trent Lennon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Kyle Femmer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Nick Allen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
6.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
83rd • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Herren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
Round 11: Win vs Emery Powell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thomas Yarbrough (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
27th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grant Strom (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Casey Dugan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
59th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
6.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs William Pearlman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Jackson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Tickal (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tommy Hendricks (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
67th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Morrison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Devin Simms (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kent Summerour (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Spencer Wilkerson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 13: Win vs William Pearlman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 14: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
94th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard McMahon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs nicklas starland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Puckett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Justin Graham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Arjun Garg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ethan Oechsle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
100th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary Gold (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Devon Porcher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nick Gabler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
102nd • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oren Yishai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Geiger (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt MacLeod (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Tucker (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tim Casto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 12: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Riley Lont (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
112th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Reed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dmytro Kozhevin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs David Sitrick (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Thomas Yarbrough (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
128th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dayna Hagewood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Zackary Whitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
53rd • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Travis McDaniel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs nicklas starland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Caleb Lolley (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
99th • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Becker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Wright (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs David Wadley (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs James Mangles (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Adam Cook (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
124th • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Abraham Figueroa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dmytro Kozhevin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Zackary Whitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
131st • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Lawton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Tague (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Clint Bonds (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Alberto Ruiz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Matthew Puckett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
126th • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Esaki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs nathan lapham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Fuzzy Delp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Joshua Paris (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs ry mo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
135th • 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Grytness (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zack Phillips (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Devin Rattenni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Scott Khuu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
123rd • 2-6-0
38%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ashley Briggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Mueller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mathew Zoglman-Garcia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Emery Powell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs David Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Mueller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Schalich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Rudin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Braxton Friend (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zak Cargin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Garner (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tho Bui (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Trent Lennon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Casey Knepley (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Sandau (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Erick Leong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nick McCarthy (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Justin Smith (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Tucker (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Burns (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emi Sieting (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Chris Rowland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Towne (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Win vs Josh Lind (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Suchomel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vinh Vien (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul White (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Burns (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Morrison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fuzzy Delp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua MacMillan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Henry Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Stowe (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Long (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Pollitz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuanji Li (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Adams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander McFarlane (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Abarca (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cheaman Buckwalter (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs STEVEN HAWKER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mychael Caywood (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zephen James (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Seegraves (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Yarbrough (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clint Bonds (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cameron Robbins (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jacob hampson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Nik Dinnis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Akers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Virgil Toms (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Scott Khuu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alejandro Ziegenhirt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jenna Schoettker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Austin Revera (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Pawlak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Tague (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Seegraves (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Herzog (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Weil (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Nelson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Reitenbach (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Long (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Swisher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryan Hefner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Sitrick (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs jordan johnson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Dollman (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Louis Solymos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alan Valdez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathaniel Meserve (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Rolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Sandau (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Erik Dethlefs (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Demetris Guzman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Ray (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Loberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Lawton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander McFarlane (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.