Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
55th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
5.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rihanna LaGrou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Molho (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Riley Lont (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Justin Graham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 27:73
Round 14: Win vs Matthew Tickal (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Win |
129th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Rodrigo Lopez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clover Ausdemore (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
92nd • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
5.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Derek Copp (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Scott Khuu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ashley Briggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
Round 11: Win vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
87th • 4-3-1
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yazan Masad (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyson Au (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Puskas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Sage Husanu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40
20:80
R14 CC
Round 14: Draw vs James Tague (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Draw |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Pawlak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clover Ausdemore (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Waugh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles Simmons (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cole Love (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clark Jansen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
Round 4: Win vs Kai Pickett (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Biggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Presley (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Easton Douglas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs James Pack (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Micheal Thompson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Morris (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Oren Yishai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Spescha (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Archer Taylor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Hirt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Tague (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Towne (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jamie Grantham (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs CODY READY (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
100%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pheano Black (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.