Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at United States National

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nicholas Tran

32nd • 7-1-0

25%

Meta

+4.0

Perf

4.6

Surp

9.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Erik Dethlefs (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Erick Leong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Zephen James (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Grant Huddleston (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

9.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.17
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Win	✗	0.83	0.65
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.94
R11	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.17
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.70
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.35
R14	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Win	✗	0.73	3.30

Anthony Bugoci

111th • 6-2-0

50%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.0

Surp

6.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Mangles (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jordan Biggs (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nik Dinnis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Nicholas Jackson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs David Sitrick (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.36
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R11	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.59
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.84
R14	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.85

Joel Grizzelle

33rd • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.4

Surp

5.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Clark Jansen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emi Sieting (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Abraham Figueroa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Nick Tucker (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs William Pearlman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Joel Recinos III (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Timothy Long (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R11	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.57
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.24
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.35
R14	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.98

James Tague

82nd • 4-3-1

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.5

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Lalo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dmytro Kozhevin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matt Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Josh Lind (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Sage Husanu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R14 CC

Round 14: Draw vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.05
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R11	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.14
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Win	✗	0.73	2.83
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R14	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Draw	✓	0.75	-

Dakota Cook

121st • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mark Morrison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Miles Slack (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andy Modell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Tommy Hendricks (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Joshua Paris (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

25:75

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.10
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.71
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R11	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.63	2.16
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

James Pack

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Paul Carr (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Austin Henson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shane Ginter (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.58
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Michael Snedeker

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dagan White (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.86
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.57
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Clark Jansen

dropped • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Wadley (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.41
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.31
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

nicklas starland

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Anthony Herzog (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chris Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

100:0

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 100:0

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.10
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-

Kyle Schalich

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Keenan Humphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Robert Alonso

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dan Mui (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Dalton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Elijah Calub (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.41
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

STEVEN HAWKER

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Graham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Timothy Carter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Drew Gary (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.53
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Drew Gary

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Parker Sutton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Grant Huddleston (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Justin Rowland

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Nunn (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew Mullis

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Hardy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

KC Glass

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Timothy Carter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.47
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.