Prism, Awakener of Sol
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Valdez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryce Platz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Joe Santianna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
68th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Caplinger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Johnson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
69th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Geiger (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Casey Dugan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gus Enger (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrew Rudin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jamie Foster (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
39th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs JP Coleman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs nathan lapham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
118th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Swisher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Snyder (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alexander McFarlane (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 12: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Cody Williams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Chris Waugh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
138th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Grytness (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Vinh Vien (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Eric Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
85:15
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Erick Leong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Dmytro Kozhevin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
78th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anastasia Benner (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clay Smith (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fuzzy Delp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Round 12: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
130th • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Demetris Guzman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Snyder (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
85:15
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Erick Leong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Vinh Vien (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grant Huddleston (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CODY READY (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuanji Li (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sjohn Chambers (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Draw vs Tim Casto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Draw |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Braxton Friend (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommy Hendricks (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs James Mangles (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs David Sitrick (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Rowland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs adam bidler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Easton Douglas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Loss vs Tim Casto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Connor Talty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Puckett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Loberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tristen Farmer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Blankenship (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Reynolds (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cole Love (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-1
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Randall Robinson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zoey Gerstner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Zachary Wallach (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Draw |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Colin Swisher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josh Gardner (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jenna Schoettker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Klein (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Esaki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Puskas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emery Powell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Femmer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt MacLeod (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phil Kinney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Henry Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Meserve (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emi Sieting (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Riley Lont (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs KC Glass (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Biros (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mathew Zoglman-Garcia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.1
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jordan johnson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David M. Smith (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jedi Abaja (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Devin Simms (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hazel Hensley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Recinos III (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Braxton Friend (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Becker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.