Uzuri, Switchblade at United States National Championship

Uzuri, Switchblade

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Noah Biros

122nd • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zachary Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs ry mo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55

30:70

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.22
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.13
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.57
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.87
R14	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Cameron Robbins

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs jaime bessett (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Abraham Figueroa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Christopher Spescha

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Keven Meyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Seth Clark (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Devon Porcher

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Isaac Jessen (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Aaron Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Cook (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Marc Mehlenbacher

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Carson Osborne (Unknown)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Oechsle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Noah Geiger (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.61
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.