Zen, Tamer of Purpose at United States National Championship 2024
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
69 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 11-0-0
100%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
7.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Becker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Grant Huddleston (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 76:24
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Ejupi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Dalton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs nathan lapham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Michael Dalton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R17 CC
Round 17: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
100% (11/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
7.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R16 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R17 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
3rd • 6-4-0
90%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jenna Martin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Alonso (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Cox (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Elijah Calub (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R16 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
5th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Win vs Miles Slack (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Gardner (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Reese Toomre (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 73:27
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
50th • 7-1-0
62%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
5.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andy Modell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Win vs Noah Geiger (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs CODY READY (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs James Tague (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
9th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
4.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Bryant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Travis Wagner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Herbert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
Round 12: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Round 13: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Reese Toomre (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
17th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
5.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Albright (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Luis Maderas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kyle Femmer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
23rd • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pheano Black (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Guerrero (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Elijah Calub (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
30th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Yanke (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clark Jansen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phil Kinney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 73:27
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kyle Femmer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
64th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
4.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joe Colon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Barnes (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Caraher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
Round 12: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 13: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Bryan Knecht (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
81st • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Bryant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zoey Gerstner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Simon Miller (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Round 14: Loss vs Chase Feaster (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
19th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tho Bui (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Ptak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Wadley (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Elijah Calub (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joe Colon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
24th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Barnes (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Koosha Jahani (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ethan Oechsle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Rhea Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
47th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Graham Soloway (Unknown)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew W (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Round 12: Win vs Alejandro Ziegenhirt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Bryan Knecht (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Braxton Friend (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
54th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Pinzone (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gabriel Guerrero (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Benjamin Meffert (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ryan Biggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tommy Hendricks (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
57th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Henson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Cody Williams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
77th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brendan Thomas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Klein (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Oliver Phi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Round 14: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
97th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Walker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 11: Win vs ry mo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Liam Trodden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
Round 14: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Loss |
107th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henry Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Loss vs Chris Waugh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
80:20
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jamie Foster (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
110th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Anthony Pham (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
127th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
Round 12: Loss vs James Mangles (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 13: Loss vs Giovanni Scuderi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
80:20
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Eric Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Loss |
| R14 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
84th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Abarca (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Yarbrough (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jamie Foster (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs CODY READY (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
116th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Derek Byrne (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Joshua Paris (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Round 13: Loss vs Chase Feaster (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
120th • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Haik Voskerchian (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Spencer Wilkerson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Tucker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Clay Smith (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 11: Loss vs Bryan Knecht (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Fuzzy Delp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark lewis (Unknown)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Colon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
Round 3: Win vs David Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mathew Zoglman-Garcia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Loss vs Andy Modell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs James Tague (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alek Idol (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Simon Miller (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-0-0
75%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andy Hong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Derek Byrne (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tristen Farmer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul White (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ashley Briggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Puckett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chad Burden (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Theodore Maximiuk (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Dalton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Eric Wilson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Randall Robinson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs David M. Smith (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Hazel Hensley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alek Idol (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tanner Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Wright (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs JP Coleman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Pearlman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dayna Hagewood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zephen James (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Presley (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kobe Phan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Keenan Humphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Langevin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Archer Taylor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Biggs (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 76:24
Round 3: Win vs Yongji Yang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Pearlman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shawn Reed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Ejupi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Connor Talty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip Spader (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kobe Phan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Recinos III (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Alonso (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Nunn (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Cook (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Demetris Guzman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Platz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs quintin ludtke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Cox (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josh Gardner (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs adam bidler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenn Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Pinzone (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Graham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Revera (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dagan White (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
Round 2: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Casto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Talty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Drew Gary (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aria How (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Barnes (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charles Poe (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Kohls (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Pack (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Erik Dethlefs (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Spencer Wilkerson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pheano Black (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rodrigo Lopez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Casey Dugan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Erick Leong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Scott Khuu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Long (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Miller (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs francisco guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Hirt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Grant Strom (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Pheano Black (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Henson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Draw |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David M. Smith (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 36:64
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Poe (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 81:19
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Weil (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Towne (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Langevin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Canales (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Derek Copp (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Freeh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Epperson (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Suchomel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Herbert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kobe Phan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Meehan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Jackson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chad Burden (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alejandro Ziegenhirt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Davis Purcell (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tho Bui (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Mullis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Rodrigo Lopez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Pawlak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonny Espejo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Bryant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joe Mastowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Allen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs jaime bessett (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Derek Byrne (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.