Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
22 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 7-1-0
50%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
7.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chase Feaster (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Rhea Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
7.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
44th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Baughn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryan Knecht (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nick Allen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
91st • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yazan Masad (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jenna Schoettker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Chris Waugh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Franche Tan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
134th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Mound (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joe Colon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Zackary Whitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Puckett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Trent Lennon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
132nd • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Drew Walker (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Spencer Wilkerson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R14 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chenjun Liu (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Chris Ray (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gus Enger (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Goodwin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Corey Baker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathew Zoglman-Garcia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arthur Reynolds (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josef Mendez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Archer Taylor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Hardy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erik Dethlefs (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alek Idol (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Micheal Thompson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Miller (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Oechsle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Biros (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 24:76
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Odenheimer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Louis Solymos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua MacMillan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Parker Sutton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Pollitz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charles Simmons (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ry mo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonny Espejo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Herbert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander McFarlane (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Sitrick (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dagan White (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Richard McMahon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.