Kano, Dracai of Aether
26 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
29th • 7-1-0
75%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
5.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Darren Knopes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Spescha (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 70:30
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Franche Tan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
31st • 7-1-0
100%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
5.5
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs STEVEN HAWKER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kobe Phan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aria How (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Fuzzy Delp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
34th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
7.7
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Scott Khuu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Brendan Thomas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Johnson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Keenan Humphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Benjamin Meffert (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Randall Robinson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
7.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
38th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.4
Surp
6.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Amber Zee (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
103rd • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Devin Rattenni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dan Mui (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zachary Suchomel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs William Pearlman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
35th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs David Wadley (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R11 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
105th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clint Bonds (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Meffert (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Franche Tan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nick Tucker (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Emery Powell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
140th • 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Caraher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Arnell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Corey Baker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Paul White (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
15:85
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Puckett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Alberto Ruiz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Franche Tan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Akers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chad Burden (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Erick Leong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dan Wolak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Ray (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Aguirre (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Travis McDaniel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Rolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Drew Gary (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Caleb Womack (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Beck (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Thompson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Weidinger (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Tickal (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Cook (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alan Valdez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Allen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Waugh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rodrigo Lopez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Wadley (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Becker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yazan Masad (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ry mo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Pollitz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Rolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phil Kinney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Weidinger (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Lawton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Paris (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Biros (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Richard Yanke (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Spescha (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tristen Farmer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Chang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Mangles (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Menion Croll (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-1
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hazel Hensley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Draw |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jerome Trujillo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Amber Zee (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Morris (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josh Lind (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Akers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.