Kassai of the Golden Sand at United States National

Kassai of the Golden Sand

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Grant Huddleston

dropped • 2-3-0

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Casey Dugan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Drew Gary (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56

10:90

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Meffert (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 9:91

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.29
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.70
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Micheal Thompson

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Ptak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathen Byrd (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

10:90

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Biggs (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 9:91

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Wolverton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	25%	Win	✗	0.77	2.12

Ryan Solava

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Chang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40

10:90

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 9:91

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.36
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-

Tyler Biggs

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs JP Coleman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs adam bidler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.49
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.35

Kyle McKeough

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Pawlak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Clint Bonds (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Dollman (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Axel Sisbarro

dropped • 0-3-1

50%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs jaime bessett (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Austin Revera (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dayna Hagewood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.