Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

14 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Piotr Krzempek

3rd • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

4.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Urban (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jan "j4" Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Wojciech Hudziak (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

30:70

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.12
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.29
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R11	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.72
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.17
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.27
R14	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Filip Mikołajczyk

17th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wojciech Plewka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michal Michalowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Wojciech Hudziak (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Michal Cwik (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.09
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.25
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.71
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.72

Mikołaj Fabrowski

24th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

4.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bartosz Binczyk (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kamil Zabłocki senior (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Łukasz Gryziewicz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.24
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.73
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.41
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Lillianna Student

9th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Valerii Luchko (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Maciej Michalak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.11
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.55
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Rafał Liwerski

12th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jan "j4" Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Piotr Chudobinski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Grzegorz Marcisz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.57
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.31

Grzegorz Kowalski

25th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lillianna Student (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Skruch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.22
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	2.13
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.55
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Paweł Sosnowski

27th • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.48
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R12	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.43

Marcin Bugara

38th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Grzegorz Pijas (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marcin Glowacki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Dominik Kuszneruk (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Przemysław Duda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.54
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.82
R11	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.44
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Łukasz Gryziewicz

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Grzegorz Marcisz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Łukasz Kolibaj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Michal Cwik (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Mikołaj Fabrowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.52
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.41
R10	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adam Makowski

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Piotr Chudobinski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcin Bugara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Wiktor Woźniak

dropped • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Damian Rusin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.57
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.52
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Marcin Chorzepa

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maciej Michalak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wojciech Hudziak (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dawid Dominiak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Grzegorz Marcisz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Dominik Piatkowski

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Paweł Kręcki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maciej Michalak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.