Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 6-0-0
83%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
4.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Łukasz Kolibaj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Paweł Sosnowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Wojciech Hudziak (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
21st • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michał Zalejski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
29th • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michal Michalowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pawel Kosminski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Marcin Bugara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
37th • 1-5-0
0%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dominik Kuszneruk (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-0-0
33%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 원률 신 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marek Małecki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marek Małecki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
0.0
Perf
1.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcin Pelzner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
Round 3: Win vs Przemysław Duda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Ratajczyk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Skruch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lillianna Student (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Binczyk (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.