Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michał Krzyżyk (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs 원률 신 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Piotr Zapała (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
36th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maciej Pacholski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Michalak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Marcin Bugara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dawid Dominiak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
13th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Dawid Dominiak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mikołaj Łysko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Round 10: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 12: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
33rd • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Krystian Skrzyszewski (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Maciej Michalak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Piotr Zapała (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michal Cwik (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartłomiej Wieszok (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Binczyk (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafał Szymaszek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrycjusz Janas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafał Kogut (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dominik Kuszneruk (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bartłomiej Wieszok (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Eliza Grabarczyk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.