Azalea, Ace in the Hole

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

18th 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
4.5
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mikołaj Łysko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michał Billewicz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Adam Urban (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Antoni Maślanka (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
20th 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maciej Janik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcin Chorzepa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Kassai of the Golden Sand
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61
dropped 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Kano, Dracai of Aether
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominik Piatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rafał Kogut (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michal Michalowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 46:54
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafał Szymaszek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.