National Championship 2025 - Poland - Verdance, Thorn of the Rose (CC)

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Wojtek Klimczyk

1st • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

5.9

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

70:30

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jan "j4" Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Grzegorz Marcisz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Jan "j4" Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

70:30

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.13
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.29
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.71	2.00
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.67
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.18
R14	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.85
R15	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.78

Bartosz Ziemba

5th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

6.9

Diff

Deck

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marcin Glowacki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Lillianna Student (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

6.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.06
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.53
R10	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.35
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.71	2.83
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	2.11
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Damian Rusin

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kamil Zabłocki senior (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Grzegorz Pijas (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Wojciech Plewka

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcin Pelzner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.82
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.54

Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Ratajczyk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Urban (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.