National Championship 2025 - Poland - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Piotr Chudobinski

5th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

Deck

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Łoboda (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jan "j4" Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.03
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.33
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

원률 신

11th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Laskowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Antoni Maślanka (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Grzegorz Marcisz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Adam Urban (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	1.08
R12	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Franciszek Sapikowski

31st • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Dominik Kuszneruk (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R10	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	1.08
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.70

Hubert Pszczółkowski

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.5

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.48
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jakub Koenner

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 32:68

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Łoboda (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.22

Michał Krzyżyk

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Urban (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Przemysław Duda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.93
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Szymon Piątek

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Patryk Wasielewski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.