Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025

Prism, Awakener of Sol

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Piotr Chudobinski

5th • 3-4-0

14%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Łoboda (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jan "j4" Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.03
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.65
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R13	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

원률 신

11th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

4.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Laskowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Antoni Maślanka (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Grzegorz Marcisz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Adam Urban (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.55
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.85
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.23
R12	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-

Franciszek Sapikowski

31st • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Dominik Kuszneruk (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R10	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.23
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.16

Hubert Pszczółkowski

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.44
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Jakub Koenner

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 26:74

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Łoboda (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.23

Michał Krzyżyk

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Urban (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Przemysław Duda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.02
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Szymon Piątek

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Patryk Wasielewski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.