Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Arakni, Marionette
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafał Szymaszek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patryk Wasielewski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
dropped 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcin Glowacki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.