Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at National Championship 2025

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Maciej Graszek

10th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

4.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mikołaj Fabrowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Ratajczyk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Rafał Kogut (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Grzegorz Marcisz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.15
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.70
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.55	2.09
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Michal Cwik

30th • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

5.5

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Piotr Zapała (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Łukasz Gryziewicz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Michal Michalowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.57
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Win	✗	0.76	3.48
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.47

Kamil Grodecki

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.29
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.