National Championship 2025 - Poland - Levia, Shadowborn Abomination (CC)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Maciej Graszek

10th • 4-2-0

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

4.7

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mikołaj Fabrowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Ratajczyk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Rafał Kogut (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Grzegorz Marcisz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.26
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.58
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.81
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.54	2.05
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Michal Cwik

30th • 3-3-0

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

5.9

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69

10:90

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Piotr Zapała (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 10:90

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Łukasz Gryziewicz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Michal Michalowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Win	✗	0.70	2.89
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	2.41

Kamil Grodecki

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.37
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.