National Championship 2025 - Poland - Kano, Dracai of Aether (CC)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Robert Szura

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Piotr Zapała (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rafał Kogut (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.69
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Aleksander Zabłocki

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Paweł Sosnowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.68
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Jakub Łoboda

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Piotr Chudobinski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pawel Kosminski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.