Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
44 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 12-3-0
93%
Meta
+4.2
Perf
7.1
Surp
5.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Enzo Di Rosa (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Laurent Michaud (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs John Kitsos (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Emily Froese (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
93% (14/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.2 Wins (7.8 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
7.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
43rd • 10-4-0
71%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.9
Surp
5.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Harwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Walley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexandros Modestou (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joseph White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paweł Roman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
Round 8: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nathan Hills (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
71% (10/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
63rd • 9-5-0
71%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
7.0
Surp
5.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Red Itärinne (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stephanie Arthur (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Felipe Rita (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Erik Elberfeld (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Toni Savolainen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
71% (10/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
67th • 9-5-0
100%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.8
Surp
4.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Breno Santos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Jackson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Timotheos Chrysanthou (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew W (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Koch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Stephen Manning (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ben Lux (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (14/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 7-5-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Callum Jenkinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michele Maietta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Peter Markovič (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Casey Knepley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Lazarides (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Linus Albat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Erik Elberfeld (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs John Scharf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 9: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Toni Savolainen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henry Ellis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Amelia Kozlowksa (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Kinnett (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zak Murray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mark Warren (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexander Teague (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Linus Albat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luca Love (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Spescha (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Edmondo Mazzulli (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Lovelace (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Stassi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Chris Churchill (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Lazarides (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Catling (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Peter Markovič (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Adrian Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs anthony blakeman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Hetherington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tymoteusz Kliś (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nico Schleier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Leila Catton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Romain Werlen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Artie Hamelin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael MacLeod (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Edison Yue (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marcin Pelzner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rui Carvalho (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mike Knvs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paweł Sosnowski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Simon MacDonald (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David McAllan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthew Kenworthy (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-1
78%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steve Phillimore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rhys Francis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harry McAlpine (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Mariano Rivero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Round 9: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Melissa Steinman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kae Remmer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Brookes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Phillip martinez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs James Thourgood (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Darnell Dickerson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Konrad Niva (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Louis Glenn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Catling (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Linh Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zak Mc Gowan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexander Heilling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Radu-Andrei Ispas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Luce (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Morrison (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Vitalij Zeiser (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nastassja Baum (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs René Rosenberg (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bun Ar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josh Williamson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Wadley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tiago Polónio (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Kindberg (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Osama MacDonald (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Evans (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Yuen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Oliver Gehrig (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Munceanu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Clark (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ed Cardall (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oli Cornish (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcus Brown (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stephanie Arthur (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs robin gasparini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sharif Shaaban (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thuong Nguyen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kwun Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Milan Pěkný (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Neil Jones (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Sampson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keir Sweeney (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Okruhlica (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Hodkinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Edmondo Mazzulli (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs Alfie Thomasson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Severs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kae Remmer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Antonis Kazouris ()
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Grabenstein (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R5 | 50% | Win | |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nico Schleier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andy Pham (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Finn Labe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carl Boyle (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tiago Polónio (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dave Margetson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christian Jelle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Artie Hamelin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maurício Portiolli Franco (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Szczotka (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs João Zeni (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frazer Eastman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carl Boyle (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Chappell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Damon Elgie (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Kitsos (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander King (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Kruijsen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Menion Croll (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Jacob (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Darnell Dickerson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Loss vs Olga Sørensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Enes Findik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Trevor Kerr (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tsz Shing So (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Draw |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steve Le (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christoph Greischberger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs robin gasparini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Porter (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hon-man Yau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Thourgood (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ronnie Fox (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Jehan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Neil Jones (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Javier Kenyon-Reyero (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Milosz Sankowski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ioannis Makrygiannis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip Waughman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tymoteusz Kliś (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jurica Fejer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Jenni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Fernando Caprino (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Piotr Chudobinski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ismael Boulbaz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Amelia Kozlowksa (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.