Azalea, Ace in the Hole
32 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 11-3-0
57%
Meta
+4.6
Perf
7.3
Surp
6.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ville Schalin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyle Mullings (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Finlay Shepherd (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daja Todesco (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Round 9: Win vs Nico Schleier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 10: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Filipe Cunha Santos (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
57% (8/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
7.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
32nd • 10-4-0
100%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
6.9
Surp
4.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Lazarides (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Luong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maik Wiesen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Jackson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs simon diaz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (14/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-4-0
80%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charlie Fahey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Estarlin Cruz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rene Lorentsen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leonardo Pessôa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dominik Piatkowski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emily Froese (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Didier Deurloo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcin Pelzner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Kitsos (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christos Zisimos (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paweł Kręcki (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andre Belfort (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pablo Miguel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Red Itärinne (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oliver M (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Loss vs Jerick Fomocod (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Osama MacDonald (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcus Rosemin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Theodosis Pafitis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bun Ar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ioannis Makrygiannis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adrian Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Calf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Kinnett (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Antonis Kazouris ()
Round 3: Win vs Luca Scherner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Jehan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Kaiser (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Edward Bayford (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Fernando Caprino (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | 50% | Loss | |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-6-0
44%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mantas Ptakauskas (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Farnell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Javier Díez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aron Trausti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Paddy Morgan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Round 9: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-6-0
78%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Kaiser (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teddy Gois (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Layne Forrest (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tom Gould (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mantas Ptakauskas (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ewan Dajnak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Richard Meyer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Laureen Jib (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Emmanuel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs SEAN STELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Enzo Di Rosa (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Munceanu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nastassja Baum (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs James Flynn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pablo Miguel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Connor Hetherington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
dropped • 0-7-1
38%
Meta
-3.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Keven Daymond (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pontus Angerfors (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Cowan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Philip Waughman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Connop (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aaron Heimbeck (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Camron Lowe (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steve Le (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Faelan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Soya Okuda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kurt Vooys (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Round 6: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rhys Horlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Márton Kovács (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs René Rosenberg (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Toni Savolainen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kurt Vooys (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Lojo Bernabeu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Mullings (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Frazer Eastman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shaun Eaglesham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edgar Strogonov (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dan York (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Frederik Emil Hansen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Bertrand (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jurica Fejer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs Nico Grieco (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ewan Dajnak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Javier Kenyon-Reyero (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Laureen Jib (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sophia Claire (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Linh Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Goldfinger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Horne (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stuart Reeve (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hemal Patel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Osama MacDonald (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor O'Sullivan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
40%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Wintle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dan Tripp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Farrow (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Davide Ierardi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Szymon Piątek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Holík (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Christensen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Boyd Zeedzen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Flynn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antoine Ruffion (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oli Cornish (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Fletcher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Frank CLEMENT (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Romain LIM KOUN (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Frank Kuenneke (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Connan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robin Lesage (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Erwin Van Herrewegen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Catling (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.