Jarl Vetreiði at Calling: London
Jarl Vetreiði
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
42nd • 10-3-1
57%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
7.3
Surp
5.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Afonso Fernandes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anya North (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Stassi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vulpe Razvan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 8: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 9: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
Round 12: Loss vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Roman Legíň (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
57% (8/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
7.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Draw |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
71st • 8-6-0
57%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nico Schleier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Duncan Macbeth (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
5:95
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charlotte Odievre (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
90:10
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Casey Knepley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 89:11
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Steve Andrew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
5:95
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
5:95
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
5:95
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
Meta Fit
57% (8/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 90% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Callum Young (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Ward (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Calf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Cohea (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
5:95
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
Round 6: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Anya North (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
5:95
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-2
44%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Dennis Fröberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steve Margetson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pontus Angerfors (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
5:95
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Austin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Finlay Shepherd (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Paulo Sherring (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Erik Elberfeld (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Draw |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Draw |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-1
44%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
4.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Vulpe Razvan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Ramirez givell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Jared Warden (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Curry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joseph White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Tomas Liutvinas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Draw |
dropped • 3-4-1
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mathew Davies (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Okruhlica (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Debling (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Will lunnon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adrien Defarge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
Round 7: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
5:95
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Draw |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Eastwood (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sophia Claire (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hamish Dean (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Austin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andreas Björnsson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Natasha Collins (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 18:82
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sharif Shaaban (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tony Gleeson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake Lancaster (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
5:95
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs simon diaz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Ward (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexandros Moutopoulos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christian Pelka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs robert john hall (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Toni Savolainen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Nichols (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
Round 4: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-1
60%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Yuen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Kelly (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs David Kuric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Márton Kovács (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Harry McAlpine (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Draw |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Natasha Collins (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hugi Hlynsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Lüthi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hugo Jobe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Péter Kökény (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Erik Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reuben Thomas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 89:11, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 90% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nuno Paiva (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.