Prism, Awakener of Sol
32 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
24th • 10-4-0
79%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Filipe Cunha Santos (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florian Huepper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas CHAMPEROUX (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Carre (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tiago Polónio (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kristian Čurla (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 14: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
79% (11/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
34th • 10-4-0
64%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
7.0
Surp
5.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sara van Reeken (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Win vs Niels Rohrer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Renz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Osama MacDonald (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 11: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
Round 13: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 14: Win vs Mikey Dwyer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
64% (9/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
47th • 9-4-1
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
7.1
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs damien herlin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Round 7: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Botond Szujó (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 10: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
20:80
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
Round 14: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (7/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
7.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Draw |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
51st • 9-5-0
79%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.4
Surp
4.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ilian Baylon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Javier Kenyon-Reyero (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew W (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Round 10: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Toni Savolainen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
79% (11/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
82nd • 8-6-0
79%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
6.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Bach (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Juliano (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Karan Gill (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anya North (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Round 8: Loss vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 9: Loss vs Milosz Sankowski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 10: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 11: Win vs Ben Lux (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Theodosis Pafitis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
79% (11/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (8.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Lojo Bernabeu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Owen Howdon (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finn Labe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Win vs Metodi Nikolaev (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Win vs Mario Donoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tom Kruijsen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erwin Van Herrewegen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Pearlman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Scharf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kai Le Phelps (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Markus Jonsson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Koch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Niels Vos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raymond Su (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Edgar Herrera Ramos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 6: Win vs Easton Douglas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Round 9: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kit Valentine (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Round 4: Win vs Adrien Defarge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Round 6: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Round 8: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 9: Loss vs Łukasz Cichecki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Karl Roche (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Carl Boyle (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John Kitsos (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Luca Love (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Round 8: Win vs Robin Lesage (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Igor Koutzevitch (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luke/Evelynn Poulter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Vasil Ivanov (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Aaron Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs York kwok (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Felipe Rita (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Papadopoulos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Elliott Chacksfield (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Christian Jelle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-2
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ross Gauld (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sarah Howes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry Ellis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs William Pearlman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Zak Murray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ilian Baylon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Draw |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vasil Ivanov (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
Round 2: Win vs Larissa Chow (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Romane Dubost (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David McAllan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Birgir Hrafn Buason (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Round 8: Loss vs Linus Albat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-1
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Rene Lorentsen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Long (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mike Williams (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Loss vs Matthias Niedertscheider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Linh Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Roberts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pablo Miguel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Zak Murray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Draw |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs George Keys (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zak Mc Gowan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Kinnett (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Timotheos Chrysanthou (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Win vs Kai Price-Goodfellow (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Birgir Hrafn Buason (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Romain Werlen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Crame (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Loss vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Piełudź (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Jacob (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Folch (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Larissa Chow (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steve Phillimore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Will lunnon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Francisco Pimenta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Toni Savolainen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Hazell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robin Seichais (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Danny Halstad (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Calf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Estarlin Cruz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Dyson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Błażej Gierszon (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Toby Beckham (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Damon Harbinson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Péter Kökény (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Tomas Fernandes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Keys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs André Kofmel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryan Sweeney (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anastasios Kouvousis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ben McConnochie (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Price (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Edgar Herrera Ramos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander King (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Richard Meyer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jack Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ays Banning (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Gates (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Li (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Knight (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Victor Reis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Bun Ar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francisco Pimenta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Lovelace (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Jones (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36
Round 5: Loss vs Red Itärinne (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ewan Dajnak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ed Kennan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Tuck (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Nordeng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oli Anderson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Kelly (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs Virginia Rosenberg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Grigorian Tigran (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Teague (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antoine Ruffion (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Artie Hamelin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fernando Caprino (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Fletcher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Loss vs Steve Phillimore (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Szymon Piątek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Smyth (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hemal Patel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.