Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-3-0
22%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James LeResche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florian Osmani (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe Fletcher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Boyd Zeedzen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Yau (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Victor Reis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Kenworthy (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Carre (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Round 8: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthew Renz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
22%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Carvalho (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Kane Wilson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Milosz Sankowski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wouter Ouwehand (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Sanchez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
22%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vitalij Zeiser (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Hutson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Folch (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dean Flanagan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Aron Trausti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Edison Yue (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Fogg (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edgar Strogonov (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Connan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Max Moser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jack Rhys-Burgess (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
22%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Hopps (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcello Mutalipassi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Jurica Fejer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tymoteusz Kliś (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
22%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Sampson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jack Warren (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Leila Catton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael MacLeod (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Flynn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Zapata (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Josh Keys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Larissa Chow (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Harwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Grigorian Tigran (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-1
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matteo Lista (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hugi Hlynsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Błażej Gierszon (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Folch (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Draw |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-6-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Rob Howe (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Faelan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Philip Waughman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Zak Mc Gowan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alice Angell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-7-0
44%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Afonso Fernandes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andre Belfort (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Adshead (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patryk Wasielewski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs damien herlin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alex Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stuart Reeve (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Frank Kuenneke (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan YUSTE (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robert Szary (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paulo Sherring (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Weißling (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mike Williams (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Bruno Assis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ricardo Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ross Gauld (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Tsz Shing So (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lotara Norris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eliot JOBE (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs André Kofmel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Max Löhe (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Win vs Paweł Sosnowski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Tijs de Kort (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Spescha (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael MacLeod (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Carre (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Gut (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erik Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Aron Trausti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ben Emmanuel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vittor Matiazo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kate Dunstone (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Metodi Nikolaev (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Win vs David Dyson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marco Casadio (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
0%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Spescha (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Paweł Romanowski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christoph Greischberger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tymoteusz Kliś (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Li (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Kinnett (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sarah Howes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nathan Eastwood (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Philippe Milot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Mc Namara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Loss vs Amber Varwijk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matteo Brunori (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Emmanuel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Niels Vos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Folch (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-1
17%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Cohea (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Walter Heidelberger (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paulo Resende (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zak Mc Gowan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Jack Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Draw |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justine DeLuise (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Rhys-Burgess (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Sanchez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuanji Li (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ed Cardall (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Loss vs Lewis Chapman (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trevor Kerr (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Moore (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Lau (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Bone (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Russell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Loss vs Rhys Horlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josh Keys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Curry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josh Williamson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Łukasz Cichecki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Faelan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Damon Harbinson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs André Kofmel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anastasios Kouvousis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs damien herlin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs DJ Breithaupt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Markus Heimbeck (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Harry McAlpine (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan YUSTE (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oliver M (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Jehan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Javier Díez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Chappell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Goodchild (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mike Morelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thuong Nguyen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Linus Albat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Indigo Bosworth (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Taylor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.