Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: London

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Boyd Zeedzen

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Yau (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ash Parkhouse-Pemberton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Danny Halstad (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Cohea (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Emil Lohse (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.11
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.77
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Stuart Reeve

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 70:30

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maurício Portiolli Franco (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Dyson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 39:61

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andreas Nordeng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lisa-Marie Schulte (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs George Keys (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.07
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.16
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Stefan Karlsson

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maurício Portiolli Franco (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christian Pelka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Richard Hughes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Carlos Gutiérrez González

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Hughes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lewis Chapman (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.