Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: London

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Boyd Zeedzen

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Yau (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ash Parkhouse-Pemberton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Danny Halstad (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Cohea (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Emil Lohse (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.11
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.68
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.77
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Stuart Reeve

dropped • 3-4-0

14%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maurício Portiolli Franco (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 33:67

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Dyson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andreas Nordeng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lisa-Marie Schulte (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs George Keys (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.19
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.65
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.16
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Stefan Karlsson

dropped • 2-2-0

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maurício Portiolli Franco (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christian Pelka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Richard Hughes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.13
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.47

Carlos Gutiérrez González

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Hughes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lewis Chapman (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.