Arakni, Marionette at Calling: London
Arakni, Marionette
27 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 11-3-0
29%
Meta
+5.5
Perf
7.7
Surp
7.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Krainer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Lori Vanderhulst (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cody Hodkinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
Round 7: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nico Schleier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Emily Froese (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
Round 12: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (4/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
7.7 total deviation
Difficulty
7.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
45th • 10-4-0
57%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
6.9
Surp
6.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Leeming (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tanner Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Richard Carr (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
Round 7: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Winning (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Anthony Jacob (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
Round 12: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Botond Szujó (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
57% (8/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
78th • 8-5-1
71%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
6.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Jones (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Klas Bergholtz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcus Archer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 70:30
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ricardo Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Theodosis Pafitis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Draw vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
71% (10/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Draw |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
22%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.8
Surp
5.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stuart Reeve (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Davis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Alex Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Charlie Fahey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Łukasz Gryziewicz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.9
Surp
4.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Chandler (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Svavar Hinriksson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Charlotte Odievre (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Filipe Cunha Santos (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
Round 8: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs David Yau (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Wille (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Niels Vos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Win vs Leila Catton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nico Grieco (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 20:80
Round 7: Win vs Nuno Amaral (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sara van Reeken (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ásgeir Jóhannesson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Farnell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Cedric SCHAACK (Dash I/O) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emily Froese (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Lazarides (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Baker (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 70:30
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
Round 9: Win vs Leon Schüßler (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-1
56%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcin Pelzner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Win vs Ilian Baylon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stephanie Arthur (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vittor Matiazo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Folch (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
Round 8: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Declan Macewan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Mikkelsen (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Aðalsteinn Örn Ragnarsson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ben Lux (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lori Vanderhulst (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kai Le Phelps (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Loss vs Olga Sørensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs damien herlin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christian Pelka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Declan Macewan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philip Waughman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Coates (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Steve Andrew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs Boyd Zeedzen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Jacob (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Callum Jenkinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Alexandros Modestou (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zoe Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Virginia Rosenberg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Ian Porter (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Draw |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Denning (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
Round 6: Win vs Karl Naylor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Walley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ella Brown (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 20:80
Round 4: Win vs Radu-Andrei Ispas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Edison Yue (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Javier Díez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leila Catton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Romane Dubost (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Markus Reichhart (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Brookes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florian Huepper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dan York (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Krainer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Owen Howdon (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leia Asp (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hamish Dean (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Laurent Michaud (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justine DeLuise (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Calf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Roberts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Greenwood (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Sampson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Carr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thuong Nguyen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Quek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Francis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raymond Su (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Mike Morelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emil Lohse (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Catling (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthias Niedertscheider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73
Round 3: Win vs Krists Feldmanis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stephanie Arthur (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
Round 2: Win vs Riccardo Rotondo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vitalij Zeiser (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dakota Rewoldt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Markus Heimbeck (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.