Fang, Dracai of Blades at Calling: London
Fang, Dracai of Blades
36 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
37th • 10-4-0
36%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
6.9
Surp
5.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Marshall (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs René Rosenberg (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Austin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lotara Norris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Win vs Eugenio Correa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jakub Szczotka (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
Round 9: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 10: Win vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
36% (5/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Kuric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Chalk (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tomas Liutvinas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carlos Lojo Bernabeu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Birgir Hrafn Buason (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Easton Douglas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
22%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mike Williams (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Round 6: Win vs David Calf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kevin Jenni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Bowyer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aron Trausti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Niels Rohrer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marcus Archer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-1
44%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Franco (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fernando Caprino (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas G Jud (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Round 4: Win vs Domonkos Kiss (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lori Vanderhulst (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Laurent Michaud (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hugo Jobe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Draw |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Eddy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Tom Evans (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Riccardo Rotondo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Round 8: Win vs Will lunnon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phil Mead (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephen Berlyant (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Juliano (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nico Schleier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Zapata (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sara van Reeken (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Churchill (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Webb (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ioannis Makrygiannis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Win vs Francesco Rossi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs DJ Breithaupt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paul Goodchild (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Camron Lowe (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nico Grieco (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Edward Bayford (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Round 8: Loss vs Tomas Liutvinas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kai Price-Goodfellow (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Neil Jones (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rhys Francis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Jenni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Shai Edginton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs João Zeni (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Joe Mastowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Davies (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ays Banning (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Scharf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kai Price-Goodfellow (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs Kai Le Phelps (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Manning (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eliot JOBE (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Jason Kelly (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Kristoffer Hans Lim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas CHAMPEROUX (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keven Daymond (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Jenni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Chalk (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zoe Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Amelia Kozlowksa (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Eugenio Correa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Federico Sirri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ember Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hugo Platret (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Davies (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Ismael Boulbaz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mike Morelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Churchill (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tijs de Kort (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Dyson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Win vs Jack Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simon Lüthi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Murphy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rhys Horlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Erik Skinstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hon-man Yau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dean Flanagan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emily Froese (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Bergström (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Erwin Van Herrewegen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs George Keys (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Anastasios Kouvousis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Akihiro Takano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Smyth (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paweł Romanowski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ruairidh Wasson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Callum Elcock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Connor Hetherington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Teague (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Greenwood (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maik Wiesen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Win vs Max Moser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Szczotka (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Callum Young (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robin Lesage (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Laurent Michaud (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jack Warren (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
Round 2: Win vs Alexandros Moutopoulos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Duncan Macbeth (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nguyen Giang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tess van Dartel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Alexandre Clay (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Osama MacDonald (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Neil Jones (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Pham (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandros Moutopoulos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tomas Fernandes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sara van Reeken (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Larissa Chow (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Birgir Hrafn Buason (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (0.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hugi Hlynsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Max Moser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Bayford (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.