Ira, Scarlet Revenger
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-1
44%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cayne Wilbur (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Max Moser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs George Keys (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Jackson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ian Zhang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Shelly (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Fearon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Red Itärinne (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pontus Angerfors (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Antoine Ruffion (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Fernandes (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jurica Fejer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Philippe Milot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-6-0
22%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Breno Santos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Gut (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Romane Dubost (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ismael Boulbaz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Zak Mc Gowan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hugi Hlynsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Jackson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luca Scherner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cara Carter (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Spescha (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Okruhlica (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Riccardo Rotondo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander King (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrien Defarge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marco Lettieri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dan Tripp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fernando Caprino (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ewan Dajnak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chris Churchill (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Denning (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Johannes Janovsky (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maurício Portiolli Franco (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Win vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Łukasz Cichecki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thierry Bonard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Francesco Rossi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs Mark Warren (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Łukasz Cichecki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Juliano (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Murray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David McAllan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Kaiser (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Gut (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lotara Norris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oli Anderson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carlos Lojo Bernabeu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicolas BROSSE (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Markus Jonsson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kai Price-Goodfellow (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan YUSTE (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Nichols (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Jackson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs May Made (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Jehan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alfie Thomasson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Harwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Edward Catling (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Quek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alice Angell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Chappell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Carr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Murphy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Sharpes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs William Pearlman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Virginia Rosenberg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Hopps (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Fahey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nick Webb (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Greenaway (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Fogg (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryan Sweeney (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Watson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcus Archer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Roberts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Eddy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Fearon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.