Kano, Dracai of Aether
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 11-3-0
79%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.8
Surp
5.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rhys Horlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Damon Elgie (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Keys (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nicolas Lazarides (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
79% (11/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (8.1 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
16th • 11-3-0
71%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
6.5
Surp
6.6
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Moore (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 79:21
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Fernandes (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Clements (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kristian Čurla (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Round 9: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Yau (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Round 14: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (10/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vasil Ivanov (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daja Todesco (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Theodosis Pafitis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Edward Bayford (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tomas Fernandes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Round 9: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sarah Howes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christos Zisimos (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Round 4: Loss vs Amber Varwijk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Max Löhe (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Edgar Herrera Ramos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thomas Juliano (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Paul Crame (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakub Szczotka (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Richard Carr (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emil Lohse (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lotara Norris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Loss vs Michael MacLeod (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Theo Maggs (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michele Maietta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Callum Young (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas CHAMPEROUX (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Baker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs George Jones (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
78%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dan York (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Keven Daymond (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32
Round 6: Loss vs Markus Jonsson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Jackson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrian Quek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Lüttmer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 79:21
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vasil Ivanov (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zak Murray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bun Ar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Gut (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zoe Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Mc Namara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hugo Jobe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
Round 7: Loss vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jurica Fejer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Papadopoulos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Karan Gill (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leia Asp (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sharif Shaaban (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diogo Vala (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paddy Morgan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Melissa Steinman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Thuong Nguyen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vitalij Zeiser (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Roberts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Loss vs Romain Werlen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dakota Rewoldt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Nakata (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ross Gauld (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Francisco Pimenta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paweł Sosnowski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thierry Bonard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Davide Brigida (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paulo Sherring (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raymond Su (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mikael Vedemar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.