Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Calling: London
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 7-4-0
55%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mickey Holmes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben McConnochie (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Lux (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robert Catling (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mikael Kullström (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Wadley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paulo Sherring (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jack Warren (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
0%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christoph Greischberger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Liam Blakeman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connor Hetherington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Connan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 12:88
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fin Price (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paulo Resende (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Leonardo Pessôa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jack Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rob Howe (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 12:88
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michele Maietta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tomas Liutvinas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Parker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Gates (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.