Calling: London - Riptide, Lurker of the Deep (CC)

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lucas Navarro

dropped • 7-4-0

45%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mickey Holmes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ben McConnochie (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ben Lux (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Robert Catling (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.33
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.74
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Hanno Lünser

dropped • 4-5-0

33%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mikael Kullström (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Wadley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Paulo Sherring (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jack Warren (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.13
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.17
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Hamish Dean

dropped • 1-6-0

29%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christoph Greischberger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Liam Blakeman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Connor Hetherington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Connan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Gustavo Cilleruelo

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fin Price (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paulo Resende (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Leonardo Pessôa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.61
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Keven Daymond

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jack Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rob Howe (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michele Maietta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tomas Liutvinas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.23
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Christopher Clark

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Parker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Gates (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.