Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Calling: London — FaB-Results

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 5-4-0

33%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

4.3

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Luke/Evelynn Poulter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Adam Friday (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dakota Rewoldt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Martin Bergström (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

Aurora, Shooting Star

15:85

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81

Aurora, Shooting Star

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Red Itärinne (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Win	✗	0.81	1.32
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Win	✗	0.86	1.90
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R9	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

dropped • 3-6-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Erik Elberfeld (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christian Byrnes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Enzo Di Rosa (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Elliott Chacksfield (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Laurent Michaud (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Javier Díez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.54
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

dropped • 3-6-0

0%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Aurora, Shooting Star

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Aurora, Shooting Star

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Miele (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ben McConnochie (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Aurora, Shooting Star

15:85

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

Aurora, Shooting Star

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Mickey Holmes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Max Löhe (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

0% (0/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.18
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.49
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.88
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

dropped • 3-6-0

11%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.3

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Chalk (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 33:67

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs theofanis neofotistos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paul Carr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Fernando Caprino (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

Aurora, Shooting Star

15:85

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 41:59

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

11% (1/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.65
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.15
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.47

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.2

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Aaron Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

Kano, Dracai of Aether

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81

Dash I/O

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kit Valentine (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

Kano, Dracai of Aether

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rúben Martins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Pablo Miguel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs PANAGIOTIS KOSTOGLOU (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.06
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.57
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.19
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.47

Francesco D'Amendola

dropped • 3-4-0

0%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Max Löhe (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Florian Grabenstein (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Adshead (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Murphy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

0% (0/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.23
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.83
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.13
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Andreas Nordeng

dropped • 1-6-0

57%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.3

Diff

Dash I/O

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Szary (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67

Fai, Rising Rebellion

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Ramirez givell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Szymon Piątek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Stuart Reeve (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Paul Goodchild (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Layne Forrest (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.27
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R7	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 2-4-0

0%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

Aurora, Shooting Star

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Fogg (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mikael GARCIA (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Aurora, Shooting Star

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hon-man Yau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Romain Werlen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Aurora, Shooting Star

15:85

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Simon Denning (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.53
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.22
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Coates (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Aurora, Shooting Star

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Charlie Fahey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hamish Dean (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.58

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.