Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Ray (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Clay (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Moore (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Trinh (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
Round 6: Win vs Edgar Herrera Ramos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Javier Kenyon-Reyero (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sara van Reeken (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Lüttmer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Leonardo Pessôa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Round 8: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-1
44%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mike Morelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simon MacDonald (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Olga Sørensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 5: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Paul Crame (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Gints Dreimanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Draw |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Goodchild (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46
Round 6: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alice Angell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Josh Keys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tim Greenaway (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ed Cardall (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Yuen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Fernandes (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joseph White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Javier Díez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eugenio Correa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sam Yuen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Leonardo Poppa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stuart Clark (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Bergström (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-1
25%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Faelan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuele Costantini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 5: Win vs York kwok (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Vasil Ivanov (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Natasha Collins (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Draw |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fernando Caprino (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Frederik Emil Hansen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Akers (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 85:15
Round 4: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cedric SCHAACK (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Jackson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paul White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
Round 2: Win vs Louis Glenn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alfie Thomasson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs David Yau (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 7: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Euan Ansell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip martinez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tim Moser (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 85:15
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Dunford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Crame (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Kruijsen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philippe Milot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Einoras Laskis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patryk Kielichowski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paulo Sherring (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Kieran Waters (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aron Trausti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vittor Matiazo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Richard Meyer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 74:26
Round 7: Loss vs Adrien Defarge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emily Froese (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Nordeng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Win vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Churchill (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luigi Fontana (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Birkir Örn Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Greenaway (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Wille (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tiago Polónio (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Tomas Liutvinas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Draw |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs John Christensen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Herren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 4: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lori Vanderhulst (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Round 6: Loss vs Jurica Fejer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 2: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ella Brown (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stuart Turner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke/Evelynn Poulter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grigorian Tigran (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mathew Davies (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edward Bayford (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Milan Pěkný (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benedikt Sylvester (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Keir Sweeney (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
50%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Markus Jonsson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edward Van-Gucci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Draw |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Knight (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Shelly (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Felipe Rita (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dean Flanagan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Metodi Nikolaev (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 2: Loss vs Adrien Defarge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.