Zen, Tamer of Purpose at Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 10-0-0
80%
Meta
+4.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mei Yang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johnny Lam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Round 8: Win vs Patrick Larouche (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
2nd • 9-1-0
60%
Meta
+4.3
Perf
5.4
Surp
6.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Turcotte (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Luna (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brody Lewis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Schoof (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Win vs Cass Emerson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Philip Dickinson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Round 10: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
5th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Ludwig (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connie Barnett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Larouche (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Lemire (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adam Burkitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
17th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Farnsworth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Williamson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Mike Morelli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bea Budnik (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chris Borecky (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Leveiller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
47th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Derek Chiu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Chato (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ken Renshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Isabelle Nolet (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 80:20
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Burkitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
48th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sean Fox (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yu Zhou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Abbas Dedanwala (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
49th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Amelia Russell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Penny Schankula (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Jones (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Courtney MacIsaac (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Trenton McBride (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 7: Loss vs Paul Ludwig (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Noah Martin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
60th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Burkitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Dang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mitchell Sleeman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Holmes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Atkin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jonathan Farnsworth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
68th • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Weidinger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Atkin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Branden NoLongerAnEmail (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Levstein (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Krishan Patel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 8: Loss vs Niko Bonnay (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
71st • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Lourenco (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raine Karan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sky Umesha (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Blackman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
93rd • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Schulte (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Lewis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Stolze (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yu Huan Lin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jason Thai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
97th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs David Stolze (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ignacio Garcia Perez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark McCorkle (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Michael McKeon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raine Karan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Charles-Antoine Chabot Léveillé (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Istvan Szilak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Tillinghast (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lincoln Hodgins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Olsen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bernard Pritchett (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 80:20
Round 6: Loss vs Julian Flury (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Denver D'sa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
86%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Penny Schankula (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Weese (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lincoln Hodgins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Tsivian (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shan Huang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric George (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Raposo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Burns (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs cedrik pinault (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John Wilton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shahan Ahmed (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Wilson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marco 'Smash' Doucette (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shayne Glover (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Millie Marcotte (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Raymond (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Stolze (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Constantineau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Warburton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emma Carrillo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sacha Fonseca (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Le (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Chato (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antonio Malo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Tsivian (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Loss vs Harrison Smith (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Thang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.