Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Battle Hardened: Toronto

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brody Lewis

62nd • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.4

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Carrano (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Istvan Szilak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Bastelak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Shahan Ahmed (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Zac Doke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs B Hilton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.29
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.99
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.12
R8	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.74

cedrik pinault

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Istvan Szilak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Branden NoLongerAnEmail (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Sciulli (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Lajoie (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.16
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Eric Cherniavski

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Emma Carrillo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ben Quantrell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

David Wilson

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Johnathan Carrillo (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Ross (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Denver D'sa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.