Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025 - Levia, Shadowborn Abomination (CC)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brody Lewis

62nd • 5-3-0

25%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

4.1

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Carrano (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Istvan Szilak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Bastelak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Shahan Ahmed (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Zac Doke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs B Hilton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.25
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.28
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.05
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.00
R8	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.53

cedrik pinault

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Istvan Szilak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Branden NoLongerAnEmail (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Sciulli (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Lajoie (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.15
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.41
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Eric Cherniavski

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Emma Carrillo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ben Quantrell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.51
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

David Wilson

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Johnathan Carrillo (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Ross (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Denver D'sa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.