Nuu, Alluring Desire at Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025
Nuu, Alluring Desire
22 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-2-0
90%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Robert (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcin Duda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Isabelle Nolet (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs JORDAN BEANGE (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Round 10: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
11th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ignacio Garcia Perez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sky Umesha (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Lajoie (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sean Fox (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
15th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Corey Watson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yu Huan Lin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Turcotte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs James Warburton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 7: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alex Tan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
20th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hugo Bry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joe Fonseca (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Atkin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Constantineau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ben Olsen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
28th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Riley Thomas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Hope (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Quentin Wilson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marco 'Smash' Doucette (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs shawn Hill (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Elizabeth Waldberg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ian Schulte (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
34th • 5-2-1
62%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Courtney MacIsaac (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ashelin Gadal (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Burns (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Schulte (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Chato (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noah Martin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Hope (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Draw |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
36th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Carrano (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yu Zhou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Borecky (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Round 6: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Laforest-Harvey (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
85th • 4-3-1
88%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Bry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Denver D'sa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Din Kaushansky (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shan Huang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Jones (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ken Renshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jaber Hye (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Win |
70th • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Sciulli (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daryan Simon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jenan Wise (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Alessi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hugo Bry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandon Turcotte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Isabelle Nolet (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ben Quantrell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
75th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs B Hilton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Levstein (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Spencer Pritchett (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kaden Currins (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs James Wray (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
77th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Din Kaushansky (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jibril Jeewanjee (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Shan Huang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
Round 8: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
79th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark McCorkle (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mike Morelli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Antonio Malo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Lewis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brandon Turcotte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
91st • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Ross (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corey Watson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brian South (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chris Matos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Loss vs Brody Lewis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jordan Meyer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kris Mayor (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
113th • 2-4-2
88%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Philip Dickinson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Deanna Tennant (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Dang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elizabeth Waldberg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shane Thompson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ken Renshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Draw |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
114th • 1-5-2
88%
Meta
-3.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Plain (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Farnsworth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Jonah Mosher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Laflin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Jones (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Shane Thompson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Draw |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Draw |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jibril Jeewanjee (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Schoof (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Borecky (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aliasgar Dedanwala (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Cherniavski (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zac Doke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Girard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Lagace (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Abbas Dedanwala (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Philip Dickinson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Hope (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Abbas Dedanwala (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaden Currins (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Levstein (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Jones (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Thang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael McKeon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chris Matos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
83%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Devon Wong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Nicolas Corral (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amelia Russell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Leveiller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael WA Parente (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Charles-Antoine Chabot Léveillé (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Leveiller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Martin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Trinh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Farah Alteen-Brooks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Julian Flury (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.