Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro at Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
64th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ken Renshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Mitchell Sleeman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Hunter Platt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shayne Glover (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Farah Alteen-Brooks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aaron Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs James Warburton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.