Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andrew Hope

26th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Borecky (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel McLean (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcin Duda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 78:22

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Devon Wong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Lourenco (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 78:22

80:20

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Farah Alteen-Brooks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 78:22

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.14
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Win	✗	0.72	1.39
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.32
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.36

Benjamin Laflin

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Krishan Patel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Courtney MacIsaac (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shane Thompson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Holmes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael McKeon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 78:22

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.36

Hunter Platt

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kegan Allen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brian South (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Martin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Tillinghast (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.