Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025 - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC) - FaB-Results

Kassai of the Golden Sand

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

26th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.3

Diff

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Borecky (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel McLean (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

Nuu, Alluring Desire

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcin Duda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 72:28

Viserai, Rune Blood

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Devon Wong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Lourenco (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Nuu, Alluring Desire

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 72:28

Nuu, Alluring Desire

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Farah Alteen-Brooks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.18
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.57
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.44
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.41
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.47

Benjamin Laflin

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

Nuu, Alluring Desire

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Krishan Patel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Courtney MacIsaac (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 26:74

Jarl Vetreiði

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shane Thompson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Holmes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60

Nuu, Alluring Desire

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael McKeon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.36
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.47

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

Viserai, Rune Blood

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kegan Allen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brian South (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Martin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Aurora, Shooting Star

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Tillinghast (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.42
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.