Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
52nd • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brett Beacom (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zac Doke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Farah Alteen-Brooks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs Abbas Dedanwala (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam Schoof (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
105th • 3-4-1
62%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Blackman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Williamson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Bastelak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs David Stolze (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michel Corvino (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ken Renshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Draw |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
94th • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Sciulli (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Atkin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Tan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Schoof (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Shahan Ahmed (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
96th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Chato (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Sciulli (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Jones (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brody Lewis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Shan Huang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
107th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Martin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Plain (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Harrison Smith (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ethan Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eric George (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nicolas Corral (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
109th • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Jones (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Niko Bonnay (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edward Pudim (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs CAIO PRIMO (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs Michael WA Parente (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marco 'Smash' Doucette (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Win vs Michael WA Parente (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Makowski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jenan Wise (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Laforest-Harvey (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Trinh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Antonio Malo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs Hunter Platt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Isabelle Nolet (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Chow (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs B Hilton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Tsivian (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brian South (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Krishan Patel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Weese (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Ludwig (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Hrynkiw (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaden Currins (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Thai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mike Morelli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Levy (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charles-Antoine Chabot Léveillé (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Millie Marcotte (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs shawn Hill (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Abbas Dedanwala (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julian Flury (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.