Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
92nd • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Johnny Lam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jackson Blackman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Chow (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Denver D'sa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yu Huan Lin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elizabeth Waldberg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 32:68
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Spencer Pritchett (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Aidan Hrynkiw (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.