FaB-Results

Azalea, Ace in the Hole at Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Elizabeth Waldberg
dropped • 3-3-2
38%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
Uzuri, Switchblade
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Spencer Pritchett (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Aidan Hrynkiw (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Nuu, Alluring Desire
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Corral (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Istvan Szilak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs CAIO PRIMO (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27
Nuu, Alluring Desire
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marcin Duda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mikail Khan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Chris Matos
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Meyer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Conor Grant (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Courtney MacIsaac (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
Jarl Vetreiði
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Roger Fejdasz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Nuu, Alluring Desire
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shahan Ahmed (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Harrison Smith (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
Nuu, Alluring Desire
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Jones (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Brian South
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael WA Parente (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
Kassai of the Golden Sand
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joe Fonseca (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67
Nuu, Alluring Desire
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shahan Ahmed (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aidan Hrynkiw (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Olsen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Austin Blackman
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mitchell Sleeman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 21:79
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric George (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Viserai, Rune Blood
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Ludwig (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Meyer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Wilton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
Raine Karan
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Quantrell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Wilton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
Dash I/O
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Millie Marcotte (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Burkitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonah Mosher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
Rheal Doyle
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Viserai, Rune Blood
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Constantine Rice (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael WA Parente (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sky Umesha (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Sean Tsivian
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jaber Hye (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Fonseca (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Kane (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michel Corvino (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.