Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry at Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-2-0
60%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Lagace (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Krishan Patel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Levstein (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nghia Tran (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
5th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric George (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Ryan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Lajoie (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Martin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 78:22
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Farah Alteen-Brooks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
25th • 6-1-1
75%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Brandon Turcotte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shan Huang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Pudim (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Martin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Ryan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Shayne Glover (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cass Emerson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Draw |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
14th • 6-2-0
38%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Turcotte (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip Dickinson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 80:20
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Aaron Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
22nd • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Quentin Wilson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Schulte (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connie Barnett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Win vs Tom Ross (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Devon Wong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Aliasgar Dedanwala (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
24th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Edward Pudim (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Atkin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles-Antoine Chabot Léveillé (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Yu Zhou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ken Renshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dien Tran (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alex Girard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
53rd • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dan Kotlewski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Girard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connie Barnett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rheal Doyle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mei Yang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ethan Raymond (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
54th • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs westley nottingham (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Martin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Miranda (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Thang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julian Flury (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Bastelak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Tan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dien Tran (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
73rd • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Jones (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Cheng (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Farnsworth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Chato (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Millie Marcotte (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Connie Barnett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
81st • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Lourenco (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Tillinghast (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Larouche (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Hope (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Luke Martin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hen H (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
89th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Raymond (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark McCorkle (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harrison Smith (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Riley Thomas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ben Quantrell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Lewis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Farah Alteen-Brooks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Matos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Warburton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Penny Schankula (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Devon Wong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Round 7: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Draw |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Julian Flury (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Matos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Branden NoLongerAnEmail (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 80:20
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Fox (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Loss vs Corey Watson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Raposo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel McLean (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Loss vs Ben Olsen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Shan Huang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Robert (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ken Renshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco 'Smash' Doucette (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Raposo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Matos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Bastelak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Le (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mei Yang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Ryan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Alessi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rei Chua-Alamag (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Tan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mitchell Sleeman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Jones (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs Spencer Pritchett (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lincoln Hodgins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs westley nottingham (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 85% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brody Lewis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel McLean (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shane Thompson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 92:8
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charles-Antoine Chabot Léveillé (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.