Aurora, Shooting Star
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Spencer Pritchett (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Penny Schankula (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kegan Allen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonah Mosher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Win vs Ethan Raymond (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
30th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aliasgar Dedanwala (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yu Zhou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
33rd • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shahan Ahmed (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Corey Watson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kris Mayor (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Conor Grant (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Philip Dickinson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
39th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Williamson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bernard Pritchett (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hunter Platt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connie Barnett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs William Luna (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Noah Martin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
44th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shayne Glover (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aliasgar Dedanwala (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Deanna Tennant (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
Round 6: Win vs Ethan Raymond (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Timothy Chow (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Robert Alessi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
45th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Atkin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marco 'Smash' Doucette (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Thai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Derek Chiu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Denver D'sa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kris Mayor (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs James Wray (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
56th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raine Karan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Burns (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hugo Bry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Cherniavski (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ian Schulte (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jordan Raposo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mike Morelli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
61st • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Tsivian (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Lajoie (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Constantine Rice (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Ludwig (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Branden NoLongerAnEmail (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ethan Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luke Martin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
80th • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Weese (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Borecky (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daryan Simon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Carrano (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Deanna Tennant (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonah Mosher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Bastelak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
83rd • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dien Tran (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Kane (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Turcotte (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs westley nottingham (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roger Fejdasz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paul Ludwig (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jenan Wise (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Julian Flury (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
88th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Niko Bonnay (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Jones (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hen H (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dan Kotlewski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Burns (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Spencer Pritchett (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dien Tran (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ignacio Garcia Perez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
98th • 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Larouche (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonah Mosher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johnny Lam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs shawn Hill (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Schulte (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marco 'Smash' Doucette (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Lourenco (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kaden Currins (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel McLean (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jaber Hye (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs cedrik pinault (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Larouche (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Lagace (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Branden NoLongerAnEmail (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Olsen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Robert (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Wray (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Jones (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bernard Pritchett (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Weidinger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Wray (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Williamson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rei Chua-Alamag (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Wray (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Schoof (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Weidinger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs CAIO PRIMO (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ignacio Garcia Perez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Spencer Pritchett (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Alessi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric George (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Miranda (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Pudim (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jackson Blackman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marcin Duda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.