Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025 - Kano, Dracai of Aether (CC)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brayden Pritchard

9th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sacha Fonseca (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Devon Wong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alex Girard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Lajoie (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.27
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.53
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.14
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Shayne Glover

67th • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mark McCorkle (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Leveiller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sean Fox (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tom Ross (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Noah Martin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Laforest-Harvey (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.15
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.33
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	85%	Loss	✓	0.84	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R5	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.53
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Constantine Rice

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rheal Doyle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jaber Hye (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rei Chua-Alamag (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Edward Pudim (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.43
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.03
R5	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.