Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brayden Pritchard

9th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sacha Fonseca (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Devon Wong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alex Girard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Lajoie (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 65:35

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.15
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.46
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.97
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Shayne Glover

67th • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mark McCorkle (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Leveiller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sean Fox (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tom Ross (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Noah Martin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Laforest-Harvey (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.28
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.49
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Constantine Rice

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rheal Doyle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jaber Hye (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rei Chua-Alamag (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Edward Pudim (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.53
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.06
R5	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.