Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

35th 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shan Huang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Burkitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs shawn Hill (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kris Mayor (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Nuu, Alluring Desire
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Borecky (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs John Wilton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46
Viserai, Rune Blood
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 32:68
dropped 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
Nuu, Alluring Desire
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcin Duda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Dash I/O
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Dang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Dash I/O
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Edward Doyle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jordan Raposo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.