Verdance, Thorn of the Rose at Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

JORDAN BEANGE

35th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shan Huang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Burkitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs shawn Hill (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kris Mayor (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 47:53

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Chris Borecky (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs John Wilton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.06
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Riley Thomas

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.5

Diff