Kassai, Cintari Sellsword at Battle Hardened

Kassai, Cintari Sellsword

18 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brittney Zeller

69th • 6-3-0

56%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.1

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Gump (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Carbungco (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Alek Idol (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

15:85

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Seibert (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Bryson Peek (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Erika Hoffman (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs John Powell (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Rachel Webb (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R5	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Chane	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.07
R9	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.22

Justin Matlack

96th • 5-4-0

33%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Alex Espinoza (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Leo Shea (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Zack Phillips (Bravo) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Peter Hong (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

15:85

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Collins Mullen (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

15:85

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Paulo Fernandes (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

45:55

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Fred Bird (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Adam Bartoszek (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.13
R2	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.27
R3	Blitz	Bravo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.28
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R7	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	Blitz	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.77

Mariusz Suchanecki

110th • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Cody Diaz (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

15:85

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Rose smyth (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Haukur Thor Buason (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

40:60

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Marissa Boyd (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Ben Oliver (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

45:55

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Mottram (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Will Rea (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.28
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	Blitz	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.70
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.48
R8	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R9	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Will Rea

125th • 4-5-0

56%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

15:85

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Flores (Kano) - Expected: 36:64

15:85

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Jasper Hicks (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

60:40

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Adam Bartoszek (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Aiden Dee (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

15:85

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

50:50

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R2	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.28
R5	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.43
R6	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.48
R8	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R9	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Caleb Zavits

127th • 4-5-0

56%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Clark (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Keenan Morris (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Dain Smith (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Brandon Akers (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory

15:85

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide) - Expected: 36:64

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Kyle Nunn (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Chenjun Liu (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Win	✗	0.88	1.33
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R6	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tessa Myers

131st • 4-5-0

22%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

15:85

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Levy (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kano) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

15:85

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs joseph lawson (Kano) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Brandon Fields (Bravo) - Expected: 57:43

15:85

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Shawn Sapiel (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

15:85

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs David Bellardini (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Bryson Peek (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

15:85

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Williamson (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

Meta Fit

22% (2/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R2	Blitz	Kano	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.32
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R4	Blitz	Kano	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.65
R5	Blitz	Bravo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.45
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R7	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R8	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-

Damian Host

141st • 4-5-0

56%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

15:85

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Ben Oliver (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Seth Shepard (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

15:85

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Schutter (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Aidan O'Sullivan (Kano) - Expected: 36:64

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Phillip Bradford (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Nathan Borecki (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Koslosky (Bravo) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Matt Mills (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.14
R3	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R5	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Chane	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	Blitz	Bravo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

James Smith

146th • 4-5-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.0

Diff

60:40

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Bartoszek (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Mitchell Tillery (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Matt Mills (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Brennen Wright (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Andre Maldonado (Riptide) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

65:35

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Ryan Thomas (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Ben Oliver (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	Blitz	Chane	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.99
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.48
R8	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R9	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Sean Knowelden

158th • 3-5-1

56%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

65:35

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Manny Beatty (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

15:85

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Madison Theriault (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Draw vs Chenjun Liu (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Michael Causey (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Nelson (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Shafer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs James Smith (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.07
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R3	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Chane	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Blitz	Chane	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.67
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Chane	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.48
R9	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

SPENCER BIELEWICZ

155th • 3-6-0

78%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

15:85

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jasper Hicks (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Goodkin (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Jason Price II (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

15:85

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Graham Molsick (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Andrew Shafer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 69:31

65:35

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Haukur Thor Buason (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Spencer Fritts (Katsu) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.14
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.28
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R6	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.42
R8	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R9	Blitz	Katsu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tyler Goodridge

dropped • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Durci (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Austin Redington (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

15:85

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Robert Abril (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Robert Westergaard (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

45:55

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Mitchell Tillery (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs John Powell (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Canales (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R4	Blitz	Chane	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.60
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.39
R6	Blitz	Chane	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.90
R7	Blitz	Chane	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.05
R8	Blitz	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Quinn Toulouse

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

15:85

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs nathan lapham (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

55:45

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Joshua Koslosky (Bravo) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Spescha (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Steven Myers (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 69:31

15:85

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Jack Raven (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

15:85

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs David Brannen (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

45:55

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Rachel Webb (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.15
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R3	Blitz	Bravo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.30
R4	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.39
R5	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.34
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R7	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R8	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Kyle Mattinson

dropped • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Joseph Bowers (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

15:85

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Heck (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

15:85

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Stephan Schwarz (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Christian Weißling (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

45:55

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Win	✗	0.88	1.29
R4	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R5	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R7	Blitz	Chane	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Nils Klaper

dropped • 4-2-0

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.1

Diff

45:55

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Eric Shoopman (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

15:85

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory

15:85

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs nathan lapham (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

45:55

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Michel Corvino (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kano) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.20
R2	Blitz	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Win	✗	0.88	1.50
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R5	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.02
R6	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Blake Godenzi

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

15:85

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Williamson (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Matt Mills (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Mark Tan (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Porter Jones (Chane) - Expected: 44:56

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R4	Blitz	Chane	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.80
R5	Blitz	Chane	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

John ROSE

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.2

Diff

65:35

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Jeerod Balangan (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Colin Ross (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

70:30

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Steven Myers (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

60:40

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Zac Manmiller (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

15:85

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Brandon Akers (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory

15:85

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R3	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.52
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Win	✗	0.88	2.50
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-

Nicholas McPherson

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

65:35

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Robert Westergaard (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

15:85

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Iyslander) - Expected: 12:88

40:60

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Counsman (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Darius Hambleton (Rhinar) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.16
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R3	Blitz	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Ektor Angelomatis

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

70:30

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Haik Voskerchian (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Riddle (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kano) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R2	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.