Battle Hardened - Pro Tour: Baltimore - Oldhim (Blitz)

Oldhim

27 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Francesco Giorgio

5th • 8-2-0

50%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

4.7

Surp

4.5

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Kou Khang (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Mike Morelli (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Jeerod Balangan (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

45:55

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Jason Watkins (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Dallas Weart (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Lee Kimball (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

35:65

R10 Blitz

Round 10: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

50% (5/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.18
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.23
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.72
R6	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.72
R7	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.84
R8	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.90
R10	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Lee Kimball

17th • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.2

Diff

65:35

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Abbas Dedanwala (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Ian Shaffer (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Aiden Dee (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Lupe Khang (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Ryan Schutter (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Bellotti (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Madison Theriault (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.06
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.32
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.26
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.32
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.96
R7	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.44

Ethan Van Sant

49th • 6-3-0

22%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.6

Surp

4.0

Diff

35:65

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Seibert (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Green (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Owen Young (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Anthony Pham (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Jacob Krebs (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

22% (2/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.27
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.48
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.64
R5	Blitz	Chane	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.47
R6	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R9	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.44

Joel Grizzelle

54th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Edward Kim (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Phillip Bradford (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Jason Price II (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Felipe Costa Batista (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Nathan Borecki (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R4	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.96
R7	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Chane	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	Blitz	Chane	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.85

Chenjun Liu

107th • 5-3-1

89%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Abbas Dedanwala (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Draw vs Sean Knowelden (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Cameron Whitesell (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Haik Voskerchian (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs William Renninger (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Wesley Dong (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Kurka (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.13
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.12
R8	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Luke Shinn

84th • 5-4-0

44%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Mitchell Tillery (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Mike Morelli (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Robert Heck (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Michel Corvino (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Haik Voskerchian (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.09
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.13
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.48
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R6	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.80
R7	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Chane	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.75
R9	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Brandon Andrews

112th • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.5

Diff

65:35

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Haukur Thor Buason (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Gatta (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Williamson (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Brandon Green (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Michael Pawlak (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Fields (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Leila Green (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Leo Shea (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.67
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.39
R7	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.20

William Renninger

115th • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Curtis Roth (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Ben Lang (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Lucas Codato Antonio Silva (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Levy (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Justin Skewers (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Chenjun Liu (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Joseph Bowers (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Dakota Cook (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Haukur Thor Buason (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Chane	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.32
R6	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Chane	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.75
R9	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.58

Alek Idol

144th • 4-5-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Durci (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Brittney Zeller (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Peter Ward (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Robert Westergaard (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Brett Merold (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Amber Zee (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.64
R5	Blitz	Chane	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.45
R8	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R9	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kyle Nunn

150th • 3-6-0

67%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

4.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

65:35

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Erick Boeder (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Lupe Khang (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs David Letourneau (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Fred Bird (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Tatiana Parada (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

65:35

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Austin Redington (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Skyler Lewis (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.06
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.80
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R7	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Tim Sofsky

161st • 3-6-0

78%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

65:35

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Jeffrey Lang (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Felipe Costa Batista (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Stephan Schwarz (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Phillip Bradford (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Mara Richard (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Donovan Wilcox (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.06
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Chane	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Jonathan Price

168th • 1-7-1

67%

Meta

-3.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

35:65

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Rose smyth (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Katie Koslosky (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Lee Conner (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Donovan Wilcox (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Peter Zsiga (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Draw vs Brennen Wright (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R4	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Seth Shepard

dropped • 2-4-1

86%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

35:65

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Robert Abril (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Damian Host (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Draw vs Bryson Peek (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	Blitz	Chane	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.33
R5	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joseph Bowers

dropped • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Mattinson (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Counsman (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Darius Hambleton (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Lukas Miller (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Ryan Levy (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs William Renninger (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R4	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R7	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nick Gabler

dropped • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

35:65

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Peter Zsiga (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Leo Shea (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs nathan lapham (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R3	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.80
R5	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Nicolas Bouffard

dropped • 3-3-0

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

35:65

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Adam Filipchuk (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs nicklas starland (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Cameron Boutot (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

45:55

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Majin Bae (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.24
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.72
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.96
R5	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Paul van Gijssel

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

65:35

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Mitchel Tobey (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Hong (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Nick Kiourkas (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Tyler Wolford (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Dustin Schutz (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.10
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.80
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R6	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yuanji Li

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Snyder (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Skyler Lewis (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Madison Theriault (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Sneed (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	Blitz	Prism	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Jake Ausdemore

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Michael Crow (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs randy lavoie (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Krebs (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Blitz	Chane	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.34
R3	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.16
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Christopher Dietz

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

35:65

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Shawn Sapiel (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs randy lavoie (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Rose smyth (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Elijah Flanders (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.29
R2	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Blitz	Chane	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.51
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Christopher Saldana

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Tom Evans (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Alberto Ruiz (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Leila Green (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Marvin Dominguez (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Matt Mills (Rhinar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Nam Vo

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Serena Bailey (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

45:55

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Austin Redington (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.72
R3	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pierre-Olivier Vallerand Beaudry

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Chris Rowland (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Santianna (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Gardner (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Blitz	Chane	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Devin Bell

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Espinoza (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Mottram (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Peter Zsiga (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	Blitz	Chane	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Ben Hannan

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Chenjun Liu (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Kolbrun Palsdottir (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Prism) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Blitz	Prism	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Liam Bennett

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Carson Osborne (Chane) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Seman (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Austin Tippen

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.