Battle Hardened - Pro Tour: Baltimore - Uzuri (Blitz)

Uzuri

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chris Rowland

92nd • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Pierre-Olivier Vallerand Beaudry (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Brown (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Tyler Kerch (Dash) - Expected: 45:55

25:75

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kano) - Expected: 23:77

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Tara Frederick (Chane) - Expected: 50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Owen Young (Chane) - Expected: 50:50

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Dash	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.51
R5	Blitz	Kano	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R6	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Scott Egan

99th • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Paulo Fernandes (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Machusak (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Dash) - Expected: 45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Shafer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Rose smyth (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Robert Heck (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

25:75

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kano) - Expected: 23:77

25:75

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Aidan O'Sullivan (Kano) - Expected: 23:77

45:55

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Nick Kiourkas (Dash) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Dash	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R4	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Kano	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R8	Blitz	Kano	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R9	Blitz	Dash	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.14

Erika Hoffman

128th • 4-5-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Codato Antonio Silva (Chane) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Tom Evans (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Krebs (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Amber Zee (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Mottram (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Brittney Zeller (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Jordan Blankenship (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Owen Young (Chane) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Leila Green

142nd • 4-5-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Nick Kiourkas (Dash) - Expected: 45:55

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Saldana (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs RONNY MARTIN (Dash) - Expected: 45:55

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Jesse Machusak (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Ryan Thomas (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Kou Khang (Dash) - Expected: 45:55

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Brandon Andrews (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Alora Pickering (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Dash	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Dash	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Dash	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Zach Reinschreiber

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

25:75

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Spencer Freeman (Kano) - Expected: 23:77

25:75

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Aidan O'Sullivan (Kano) - Expected: 23:77

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Erick Boeder (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Richard Hagberg (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	Blitz	Kano	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lee Conner

dropped • 0-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Kyler Dustin (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs William OBrien (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Price (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joshua Gates

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs daren smith (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Mitchell Tillery (Chane) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.