Ira, Crimson Haze at Battle Hardened

Ira, Crimson Haze

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Haik Voskerchian

42nd • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.8

Surp

4.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Ektor Angelomatis (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Caden Stabler (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Skyler Lewis (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Ben Oliver (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Chenjun Liu (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

20:80

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Luke Shinn (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Taotao Chu (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.39
R5	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.55
R7	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kyra Marks

121st • 4-5-0

78%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Michael Popowich (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Dallas Weart (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Alora Pickering (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

20:80

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Aidan O'Sullivan (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Jason Price II (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Christopher Spescha (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.10
R2	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R5	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.68
R8	Blitz	Iyslander	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R9	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Donovan Wilcox

163rd • 3-6-0

89%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Melson (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Mitchel Tobey (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Price (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

20:80

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Justin Cardoza (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Nicholas Brown (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Iyslander	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R8	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Andrew Shafer

dropped • 2-6-0

88%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.7

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Katie Koslosky (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

20:80

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80

55:45

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Pete Stalker (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Scott Egan (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Koslosky (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Aiden Dee (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs SPENCER BIELEWICZ (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.33
R4	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Steven Myers

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

20:80

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Noah Clark (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs John ROSE (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Quinn Toulouse (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Lupe Khang (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.33
R2	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	Blitz	Iyslander	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Allen Lau

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Ben Lang (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Edward Kim (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

20:80

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R4	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Frank Reinschreiber

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Mae French (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80

20:80

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs David Bellardini (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Cody Diaz (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.