Ira, Crimson Haze
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
42nd • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
4.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ektor Angelomatis (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Caden Stabler (Chane) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Skyler Lewis (Prism) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Ben Oliver (Rhinar) - Expected: 56:44
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Chenjun Liu (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
R7
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Win vs Luke Shinn (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Taotao Chu (Prism) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Chane) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Chane | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Chane | 55% | Loss |
121st • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Michael Popowich (Rhinar) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Dallas Weart (Prism) - Expected: 33:67
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Alora Pickering (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
20:80
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80
Round 5: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Prism) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Aidan O'Sullivan (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Win vs Jason Price II (Rhinar) - Expected: 56:44
20:80
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Loss vs Christopher Spescha (Dash) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kano | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash | 40% | Loss |
163rd • 3-6-0
89%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Melson (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Mitchel Tobey (Rhinar) - Expected: 56:44
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Price (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
20:80
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Cardoza (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80
R8
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R9
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Win vs Nicholas Brown (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-6-0
62%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Katie Koslosky (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
20:80
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80
55:45
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Pete Stalker (Rhinar) - Expected: 56:44
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Scott Egan (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Koslosky (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Loss vs Aiden Dee (Rhinar) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Loss vs SPENCER BIELEWICZ (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
35:65
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Clark (Prism) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs John ROSE (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Quinn Toulouse (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Loss vs Lupe Khang (Rhinar) - Expected: 56:44
20:80
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Prism | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Ben Lang (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Edward Kim (Chane) - Expected: 54:46
20:80
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80
35:65
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Prism) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs Mae French (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80
20:80
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs David Bellardini (Iyslander) - Expected: 20:80
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Diaz (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.