Battle Hardened - Pro Tour: Baltimore - Riptide (Blitz)

Riptide

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jeff Stamm

58th • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Colin Ross (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Collins Mullen (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Donovan Wilcox (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Chane) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 64:36

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs nathan lapham (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Benjamin Wagoner (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.38
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.42
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Andre Maldonado

dropped • 0-6-0

100%

Meta

-3.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs David Brannen (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Henry Robichaux (Chane) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Jeff Okrasinski (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Green (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Keenan Morris (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

65:35

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs James Smith (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Chane	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Andrew Blackwell

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

65:35

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Chane) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Carson Osborne (Chane) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Michael Causey (Chane) - Expected: 62:38

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Steven Myers (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs James Arthur (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.14
R2	Blitz	Chane	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Blitz	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.41
R4	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brandon Canedy

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Chane) - Expected: 62:38

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Cameron Whitesell (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Henry Robichaux (Chane) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.14
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Chane	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.